Dancing in the Rain: American Pharoah Yearlings Set to Shine at Keeneland - Posted on: September 10, 2018

By Mary Perdue Lady at the Track Heavy rain over the weekend thanks to Tropical Depression Gordon, including a flash flood warning for central Kentucky, will delay the start time for first four sessions of the the annual Keeneland September Yearling Sale marathon for two hours, allowing prospective buyers additional time to inspect the youngsters on offer while also allowing everything and everyone to dry out a bit. Despite the delay, buyers and consigners alike are looking forward to the early sessions for a number of reasons, not the least of which are the expected high prices paid for the

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Opening Week NFL Best Bets - Posted on: September 9, 2018

As most people know — or should know — successful betting is all about finding inefficiencies in the market. Speculative markets are generally efficient — meaning they reflect all that is known and can be analyzed relatively well. As one of the founding fathers of the Efficient-Market Hypothesis (EMH), Eugene Fama, noted in Foundations of Finance, “The prices of securities observed at any time are based on ‘correct’ evaluation of all information available at that time. In an efficient market, prices ‘fully reflect’ available information.” If this is true — and there is good evidence to suggest that it is

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Why Winning Consistently Is Nearly As Important As ROI - Posted on: September 9, 2018

I’m asked all the time if I think it’s possible to make a living at the racetrack and whether or not I believe I can do it. My answer to both questions is “yes,” provided that “make a living” is assigned a realistic numerical value (somewhere between $40K and $100K for those with a modest starting bankroll). However, I hold this optimistic view only for those who thoroughly understand the mathematics of the game. For example: Ask any horseplayer what is more important, a high win percentage or a high return on investment (ROI), and the answer will invariably be

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Races of the Week: Arlington-Washington Futurity & Lassie - Posted on: September 8, 2018

Instead of concentrating on just one race this week, I thought I would offer my thoughts on several of the bigger races taking place this weekend. I think it’s clear that the place to be on Saturday — especially if you like turf racing — is Kentucky Downs, where four Grade III events are on tap, but I wanted to go to the Windy City of Chicago, where the youngsters take center stage with the running of the Arlington-Washington Stakes and the Arlington-Washington Lassie Stakes. Both events are for two-year-olds at seven furlongs, with the latter restricted to fillies. 8th Arlington Park

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Think the NFL Preseason Doesn’t Mean Anything? Think Again! - Posted on: September 7, 2018

The 2018 National Football League (regular) season is upon us. Sure, pulling weeds this summer was quite exciting, but nothing can quite fill the void left by the NFL’s hiatus. I admit that, at times during the offseason, I would imagine announcer Joe Buck staring at his broadcast partner Troy Aikman — and it didn’t even make me uncomfortable like it does in real life… well, maybe just a little. I know some people get really excited by the NFL draft and watch all the preseason games like they’re a paid scout, but I’m not that guy. To me, the

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Day in the Life - Posted on: September 7, 2018

Originally posted on Aug. 24, 2018 Originally posted on Aug. 17, 2018

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Use Saratoga Trends to Win at the Belmont Fall Meet - Posted on: September 7, 2018

New York racing once again is ready to move downstate for the start of the Belmont Park Fall Championship Meet, which begins on Friday, Sept. 7, and continues to Sunday, Oct. 28. With 44 stakes races worth over $10 million in purses, there are few race meets on the calendar as important as the Belmont Fall Championship Meet, which contains all of New York’s key prep races for the Breeders’ Cup. Belmont Park also offers top-notch racing day in and day out throughout the early fall season. For the average horseplayer, Belmont can be a better meet than Saratoga because

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American Horse Racing’s Most Magical Places: Against All Odds Statue - Posted on: September 6, 2018

What is most compelling is not the statue, but, rather, what it represents — the fighting spirit of community and the warrior hearts of two racehorses. It is a place where one can stop and remember, or simply imagine. Five-time Kentucky Derby-winning trainer D. Wayne Lukas once said if someone has never been to a racetrack before, their maiden voyage should be to Arlington International Racecourse. Each year, from the first Friday in May until the leaves begin to show traces of burnt orange in late September, this majestic racetrack, located 30 miles northwest of Chicago, plays host to trainers,

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Hopeful, Del Mar Futurity Mark End of Summer Racing Seasons - Posted on: September 3, 2018

The $350,000 Hopeful Stakes (GI) and the $300,000 Del Mar Futurity (GI) mark the end of the spectacular summer racing meetings at both Saratoga and Del Mar, respectively. And, this year, both of these Labor Day features have drawn strong fields of juveniles, all whose connections no doubt have at least one turned toward the first Saturday in May in 2019. The Hopeful, which drew a field of eight this year, started out as one of the more prominent races for juveniles on the East Coast when first run in 1903 and since the filly Tanya won in 1904 (she

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FREE Handicapping Reports for Labor Day - Posted on: September 3, 2018

Below are FREE handicapping reports for the top stakes races from Saratoga, Parx Racing, Del Mar and Ruidoso Downs: WIN FACTOR REPORT Uses criteria such as speed, form, class and fitness to assess the fair odds of the top four win contenders in each race. Featured Races PACE PROFILE REPORT My personal favorite, this report features par speed figures along with my unique speed rations and a bunch of other interesting stuff. Featured Races WORKOUT REPORT Features a numerical assessment (0-100 percent) — the greater, the better — of each horse’s most recent workout. Featured Races RACE REPORT CARD Grades (A-F) each entrant in

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